National League
May 15, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland Stadium
Rochdale3 - 4Southend
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Ralph (22'), Hopper (75'), Chambers-Parillon (80'), Kendall (101')
Chambers-Parillon (114'), Scott-Morriss (117')
Chambers-Parillon (114'), Scott-Morriss (117')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Rochdale
Monday, May 5 at 3pm in National League
Monday, May 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
69
Last Game: Gateshead 0-0 Southend
Monday, May 5 at 3pm in National League
Monday, May 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
59
We say: Rochdale 1-1 Southend United (Southend to win on penalties)
A tight affair could be in store on Thursday and the prospect of extra time and even penalties cannot be ruled out here, as there is little to separate these two teams. Nevertheless, we are backing Southend to frustrate Rochdale on their own turf and edge themselves into the semi-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%).
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Southend United |
44.83% ( -0.08) | 25.83% ( 0.26) | 29.34% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
