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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kalinauskas (10'), Orsi (51')
Webster (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

With two fresh faces at the helm, this may turn out to be a different type of game than it would have been two weeks ago. Nevertheless, the respective teams know that they cannot afford to lose this game, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
43.74% (-0.286 -0.29) 26.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 29.63% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)24.66% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)59.18% (0.208 0.21)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (0.182 0.18)33.2% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (0.202 0.2)69.81% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.74%
    Shrewsbury Town 29.63%
    Draw 26.62%
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury

Burton Albion
50.0%
Draw
6.3%
Shrewsbury Town
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
1-0
Shrewsbury
Lubala (16')
Oshilaja (67'), Crocombe (84')

Kenneh (83')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Shrewsbury
2-1
Burton Albion
Bayliss (3'), Dunkley (45+4')
Benning (83')
Bennett (90+7')
Blackman (4'), Brayford (72'), Oshilaja (76'), Chauke (79')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burton Albion
0-4
Shrewsbury
Saydee (1', 43'), Leahy (58' pen.), Dunkley (90+4')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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