Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
48.43% ( 0.36)	23.82% ( -0.01)	27.75% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 58.11% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.43% (

-0.23)

43.56% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.04% (

-0.22)

65.95% (

0.22)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

0.05)

18.13% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

0.09)

49.08% (

-0.1)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

-0.38)

29.02% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08% (

-0.47)

64.92% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 48.43%

Scarborough Athletic 27.75%

Draw 23.82%

Burton Albion	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.43%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 27.75%