

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley | 
| 23.9% (  -1.37) | 23.28% (  -0.89) | 52.82% (  2.25) | 
| Both teams to score 56.18% (  1.43) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.6% (  2.58) | 44.39% (  -2.59) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.23% (  2.46) | 66.76% (  -2.46) | 
| Shrewsbury Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.51% (  0.25) | 32.48% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.99% (  0.28) | 69.01% (  -0.28) | 
| Barnsley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.21% (  1.81) | 16.79% (  -1.82) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.24% (  3.14) | 46.75% (  -3.15) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley | 
| 2-1 @ 6.15% (  -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.13% (  -0.67) 2-0 @ 3.45% (  -0.35) 3-1 @ 2.31% (  -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.06% (  0.06) 3-0 @ 1.29% (  -0.12) Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 10.94% (  -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.49% (  0.12) 0-0 @ 5.45% (  -0.64) 3-3 @ 1.22% (  0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.76% (  0.15) 0-1 @ 9.73% (  -0.51) 0-2 @ 8.68% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 5.81% (  0.42) 0-3 @ 5.16% (  0.34) 2-3 @ 3.27% (  0.26) 1-4 @ 2.59% (  0.32) 0-4 @ 2.3% (  0.27) 2-4 @ 1.46% (  0.19) 1-5 @ 0.92% (  0.16) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.82% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
