League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion1 - 0Shrewsbury
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
We said: Burton Albion 1-0 Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury have lost eight of their 12 away league matches this season, while Burton Albion have posted four wins in front of their own supporters. We are expecting a close game on Friday evening but believe that the hosts will just about shade the contest to collect a huge three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
41.93% ( -0.08) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 30.38% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
