FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Moor Lane

Salford City
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Lund (5', 42')
Mnoga (16'), Ashley (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Marquis (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Salford City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.

Result
Salford City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
43.2% ( 0.09)	25.06% ( 0.01)	31.75% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.35% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.03% (

-0.08)

46.97% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

-0.07)

69.22% (

0.07)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.01)

21.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08% (

0.01)

54.92% (

-0.02)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72% (

-0.11)

28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.36% (

-0.13)

63.64% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Salford City 43.2%

Shrewsbury Town 31.75%

Draw 25.05%

Salford City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.2%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.75%