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FA Cup
Newcastle logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Brighton logo

Newcastle
1 - 2
Brighton

Isak (22' pen.)
Joelinton (36')
Gordon (83')
FT
(aet)
Minteh (44'), Welbeck (114')
Lamptey (29'), Webster (35'), Balepa (45+2'), Gomez (92')
Lamptey (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Danny Welbeck delivers a moment of magic, scoring the winning goal in extra time as Brighton & Hove Albion defeat Newcastle United in the FA Cup fifth round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.8% (0.938 0.94) 22.89% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 35.31% (-0.991 -0.99)
Both teams to score 65.44% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.41% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)35.59% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.35% (-0.523 -0.52)57.65% (0.527 0.53)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.196 0.2)17.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79% (0.338 0.34)48.21% (-0.335 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.69799999999999 -0.7)20.57% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-1.12 -1.12)53.09% (1.124 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.8%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%
    Draw 22.89%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.127 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.29% (0.187 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.133 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.31%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Brighton

Newcastle United
58.2%
Draw
21.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
20.6%
170
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newcastle
0-1
Brighton

Burn (10'), Hall (37')
Welbeck (35')
Ayari (45'), Hinshelwood (71')
> Match Report
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Newcastle
1-1
Brighton
Longstaff (45+5')
Hall (79'), Barnes (88'), Almiron (90+3')
Veltman (18')
Gilmour (45+4'), Enciso (54'), Welbeck (77'), Baker-Boatiey (90+5')
> Match Report
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Brighton
3-1
Newcastle
Ferguson (27', 65', 70')
Lamptey (83'), Milner (86'), Dahoud (90+5'), Lallana (90+8')
Wilson (90+2')
Gordon (23'), Schar (43'), Targett (68'), Burn (76')
> Match Report
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
Club Friendlies
Brighton
1-2
Newcastle
Welbeck (49')
Paul van Hecke (64')
Anderson (86', 90')
Guimaraes (30'), Pope (74')
> Preview
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Newcastle
4-1
Brighton
Undav (22' og.), Burn (45+4'), Wilson (89'), Guimaraes (90+1')
Guimaraes (30'), Schar (45+3')
Undav (51')
Undav (45+2'), Gross (57'), Mac Allister (64'), Paul van Hecke (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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