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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Feb 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Arsenal logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Arsenal

Murphy (20'), Gordon (52')
Guimaraes (47'), Schar (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Havertz (42'), Saliba (44'), Sterling (83')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United claim a 2-0 second leg victory in their EFL Cup semi-final against Arsenal to ease into the final with a 4-0 aggregate win.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg against Arsenal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second-leg clash with Newcastle United on Wednesday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Arsenal

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Man City
Sunday, February 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
30.74% (-0.429 -0.43) 24.53% (0.14 0.14) 44.72% (0.29199999999999 0.29)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.693 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.812 -0.81)45.04% (0.816 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.785 -0.78)67.39% (0.789 0.79)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.679 -0.68)27.7% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.882 -0.88)63.26% (0.886 0.89)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)20.25% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (-0.331 -0.33)52.58% (0.334 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 30.74%
    Arsenal 44.72%
    Draw 24.52%
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.255 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 44.72%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Arsenal

Newcastle United
30.5%
Draw
13.4%
Arsenal
56.1%
419
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Arsenal
0-2
Newcastle

Zinchenko (81')
Isak (38'), Gordon (51')
Joelinton (42'), Gordon (55'), Livramento (90+5')
> Match Report
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Isak (12')
Schar (39'), Willock (62'), Tonali (71'), Pope (90+4')

Merino (56'), Maduro (66'), Jorginho (88'), Havertz (90+7')
> Match Report
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Arsenal
4-1
Newcastle
Botman (18' og.), Havertz (24'), Saka (65'), Kiwior (69')
Odegaard (7')
Willock (84')
> Match Report
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Gordon (64')
Gordon (37'), Longstaff (38'), Schar (38'), Guimaraes (88'), Livramento (90+1')

Havertz (37')
> Match Report
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 35
Newcastle
0-2
Arsenal
Odegaard (14'), Schar (71' og.)
> Match Report
Build-up
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Feb 3, 07:00
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Feb 3, 22:57
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 Charles Watts/Mikel Arteta composite image
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Arsenal expert Charles Watts gives his take on whether the Gunners are capable of overturning a 2-0 EFL Cup semi-final deficit against Newcastle United.
Feb 5, 11:00
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Feb 4, 15:01
 Mikel Arteta and Ray Parlour composite image
Arsenal legend Ray Parlour tells the Gunners what they need to do in order to stand a chance of making EFL Cup final
Arsenal legend Ray Parlour tells Sports Mole that the first goal will be crucial in Wednesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg between the Gunners and Newcastle United.
Feb 5, 17:46
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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