Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 15, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
3 - 0
Wolves

Isak (34', 57'), Gordon (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Doherty (26'), Agbadou (85')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Wolves
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
71.84% ( 0.95)	16.27% ( -0.35)	11.88% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.3% (

0.07)

32.7% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.62% (

0.08)

54.37% (

-0.08)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02% (

0.22)

7.98% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.84% (

0.55)

28.15% (

-0.55)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89% (

-0.9)

39.11% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.17% (

-0.86)

75.82% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 71.84%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 11.88%

Draw 16.27%

Newcastle United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.38% Total : 71.84%	1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.27%	1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.63% Total : 11.88%