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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Bromley

Newcastle
3 - 1
Bromley

Miley (16'), Gordon (49' pen.), Osula (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Congreve (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bromley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 7 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Bromley

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Bromley had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Bromley win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
71.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)16.27% (-0.111 -0.11)12.25% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.37% (1.009 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.38% (1.007 1.01)31.62% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.88% (1.173 1.17)53.12% (-1.172 -1.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.2% (0.239 0.24)7.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.31% (0.60299999999999 0.6)27.68% (-0.602 -0.6)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.935 0.94)37.78% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.899 0.9)74.55% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 71.48%
    Bromley 12.25%
    Draw 16.27%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.16% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.327 -0.33)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.122 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.66% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.105 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.068 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 7.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.27%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.25%