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EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Brentford logo

Newcastle
3 - 1
Brentford

Tonali (9', 43'), Schar (69')
Schar (17'), Guimaraes (38'), Livramento (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wissa (90+1')
Collins (31')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United record a commanding 3-1 win over Brentford with a dominant performance in the EFL Cup on Wednesday night, securing their place in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Leicester
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Brentford

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Brentford
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
61.65%19.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)18.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 61.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)33.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45%10.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72%34.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.27% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 61.65%
    Brentford 18.82%
    Draw 19.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.26%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 4.08%
4-0 @ 3.48%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.84%
5-0 @ 1.57%
5-2 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.65%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.53%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 18.82%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Brentford

Newcastle United
73.1%
Draw
12.2%
Brentford
14.7%
156
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Brentford
4-2
Newcastle
Mbeumo (8'), Wissa (28'), Collins (56'), Schade (90')
Lewis-Potter (45+3'), van den Berg (67'), Flekken (88')
Isak (11'), Barnes (32')
> Match Report
May 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
2-4
Newcastle
Janelt (48'), Wissa (70')
Toney (44'), Jensen (45+5'), Wissa (51'), Maupay (90+5')
Barnes (21'), Murphy (36'), Isak (38'), Guimaraes (77')
Joelinton (28'), Burn (53'), Krafth (66'), Pope (90+5')
> Match Report
Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newcastle
1-0
Brentford
Wilson (64' pen.)
Gordon (90+5'), Guimaraes (90+7'), Wilson (90+5')

Wissa (33'), Norgaard (42'), Hickey (59'), Flekken (64'), Collins (85')
> Match Report
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Brentford
1-2
Newcastle
Toney (45+1' pen.)
Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')
> Match Report
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
5-1
Brentford
Guimaraes (21', 56'), Murphy (28'), Almiron (82'), Pinnock (90' og.)
Toney (54' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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