Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Brentford

Rogers (21'), Watkins (28' pen.), Cash (34')
Duran (65'), Cash (82')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Damsgaard (54')
Pinnock (25'), Collins (49')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brentford 4-1 Leicester
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
55.8% ( 0)	22.28% ( -0)	21.92% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.99% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-0)

42.12% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

-0)

64.53% (

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

14.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.61% (

43.39% (

-0)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-0)

32.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43% (

-0)

69.57% (

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 55.8%

Brentford 21.92%

Draw 22.27%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.25% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.8%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 5.77% 0-1 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 21.92%