Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 30.49% ( | 24.2% ( | 45.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( | 43.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( | 66.02% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( | 27.16% ( |