Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Aston Villa | 
| 30.49% (  -1.92) | 24.2% (  -0.6) | 45.31% (  2.52) | 
| Both teams to score 58.69% (  1.18) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.37% (  1.95) | 43.63% (  -1.95) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.98% (  1.88) | 66.02% (  -1.89) | 
| Fulham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.83% (  -0.27) | 27.16% (  0.26) |