Wycombe Wanderers
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Adams Park
Aston Villa logo

Wycombe
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Kone (90+5')
Bakinson (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buendia (55'), Duran (85' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
33.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.45%42.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 59.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.05%
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.47%
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 33.36%
    Aston Villa 42.2%
    Draw 24.44%
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 7.79%
1-0 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.36%
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.2%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Aston Villa

Wycombe Wanderers
10.9%
Draw
5.8%
Aston Villa
83.3%
138
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2020 3pm
Jan 19, 2016 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
2-0
Wycombe
Clark (75'), Gana (90')

Jacobsen (82')
Jan 9, 2016 12.45pm
Third Round
Wycombe
1-1
Aston Villa
Jacobson (50' pen.)
Amadi-Holloway (52'), Harriman (91')
Richards (22')
Westwood (49')
Jul 20, 2013 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wycombe
2-2
Aston Villa
McCoy (11'), Johnson (31')
Lowton (24'), Westwood (52')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!