Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
45.32% (![]() | 24.67% (![]() | 30% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% (![]() | 46.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.68% (![]() | 68.32% (![]() |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% (![]() | 20.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% (![]() | 52.8% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% (![]() | 28.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% (![]() | 64.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.3% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 11.61% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.3% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 30% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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