

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth | 
| 59.75% (  -0.01) | 19.85% (  0.01) | 20.4% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 63.45% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 67.38% (  -0.02) | 32.61% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 45.72% (  -0.02) | 54.28% (  0.02) | 
| Aston Villa Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.25% (  -0.01) | 10.75% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.27% (  -0.02) | 34.72% (  0.02) | 
| Bournemouth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.09% (  -0.01) | 28.9% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.22% (  -0.01) | 64.78% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth | 
| 2-1 @ 9.59% (  0) 2-0 @ 7.73% (  0) 3-1 @ 7.13% (  -0) 1-0 @ 6.93% (  0) 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 4.43% (  -0) 4-1 @ 3.98% (  -0) 4-0 @ 3.2% (  -0) 4-2 @ 2.47% (  -0) 5-1 @ 1.77% (  -0) 5-0 @ 1.43% (  -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% (  -0) 4-3 @ 1.02% (  -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 59.75% | 1-1 @ 8.6% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.11% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.83% (  -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.34% (  0) 0-1 @ 3.86% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.39% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.21% (  0) 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.4% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 82 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 67 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 64 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 63 | 
| 5 | Chelsea | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 63 | 
| 6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 61 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 60 | 
| 8 | Bournemouth | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 52 | 
| 10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Everton | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 39 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 39 | 
| 16 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 38 | 
| 17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 37 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 22 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 35 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 21 | 
| R | Southampton | 35 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 82 | -57 | 11 | 
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