Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Wolves

Diaby (36'), Konsa (65')
Tielemans (30'), Duran (84'), Digne (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sarabia (19'), Chirewa (81'), Kilman (84'), Gomes (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa strengthen hold of fourth spot in Premier League with 2-0 win over Wolves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Coventry
Saturday, March 16 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
65.6% ( 0)	18.43% ( -0)	15.97% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.67% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.5% (

0.04)

33.5% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.71% (

0.04)

55.3% (

-0.03)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

0.01)

9.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.97% (

0.02)

32.03% (

-0.02)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

0.03)

34.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31% (

0.03)

70.69% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 65.6%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.97%

Draw 18.43%

Aston Villa	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 4.62% Total : 65.6%	1-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.43%	1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 15.97%