Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
5 - 0
Aston Villa

Mateta (9', 39', 63'), Eze (54', 69')
Andersen (24')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McGinn (18'), Digne (58'), Luiz (73'), Lenglet (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace ease to a 5-0 victory over Aston Villa on the final day of the 2023-24 Premier League season, securing their place in the top half of the table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves 1-3 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Liverpool
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
40.56% ( -1.84)	23.77% ( 0.02)	35.67% ( 1.82)

Both teams to score 62.15% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.09% (

0.32)

39.91% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.73% (

0.33)

62.27% (

-0.33)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04% (

-0.68)

19.96% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.87% (

-1.11)

52.13% (

1.12)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65% (

1.14)

22.35% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16% (

1.67)

55.84% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 40.56%

Aston Villa 35.67%

Draw 23.77%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.1% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.67%