| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 43.05% ( | 25.89% ( | 31.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( | 50.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( | 72.7% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( | 23.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.53% ( | 57.47% ( |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( | 30.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.43% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
| 15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
| 19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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