Reaction
Dean Smith hails Trezeguet after brace against Crystal Palace
Trezeguet's first double in England clinched Villa's first win in 11 games and put them within four points of safety with three games left.
Jul 12, 19:56
Ahmed Elmohamady targeting three wins to escape relegation
Villa face Everton, Arsenal and West Ham in their final three games.
Jul 13, 14:19
The Match
Match Report
Dean Smith's side are four points from safety with three games remaining.
Team News
Pepe Reina should be fit to face Crystal Palace.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 40.33% | 25.84% | 33.83% |
| Both teams to score 54.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
