Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.