Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Corinthians | 22 | 5 | 39 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 22 | 1 | 37 |
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Avai | 22 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Coritiba | 22 | -11 | 22 |
| 19 | Atletico Goianiense | 22 | -12 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Coritiba |
65.94% ( 0.02) | 19.87% ( -0.05) | 14.19% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
