Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Goias 1-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Botafogo | 21 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Coritiba | 20 | -9 | 22 |
| 16 | Avai | 21 | -12 | 22 |
Last Game: Santos 2-2 Fluminense
Tuesday, August 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, August 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | America Mineiro | 21 | -6 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Santos |
49.83% ( 1.03) | 27.89% ( 0.01) | 22.27% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.28% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
