Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Santos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
