Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.