| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Accrington Stanley | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Shrewsbury Town | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Derby County | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Derby County |
| 26.35% ( | 25.69% ( | 47.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% ( | 52.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( | 34.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.48% ( | 71.52% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( | 21.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.86% ( | 55.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.35% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 78 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 77 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 69 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 64 |
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 37 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 60 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 60 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 57 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 46 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
| 15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 45 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 44 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
| 20 | MK Dons | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 35 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 34 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 23 |
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