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National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows
Darlington
3 - 0
Hereford
Rivers (38'), Nelson (64'), Hazel (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Hereford United.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawHereford United
47.09% (0.273 0.27) 25.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 27.79% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.176 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.14 -0.14)49.18% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-0.128 -0.13)71.24% (0.123 0.12)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.060000000000002 0.06)20.91% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (0.097000000000001 0.1)53.63% (-0.102 -0.1)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)31.9% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (-0.318 -0.32)68.35% (0.315 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 47.09%
    Hereford United 27.79%
    Draw 25.11%
DarlingtonDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.79%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Hereford
1-2
Darlington
Evans (11')
Liddle (45+3'), Lambert (53')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Hereford
1-1
Darlington
Faal (5')
Lambert (71')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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