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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo
QPR
0 - 1
Birmingham

Field (22'), Amos (56'), Armstrong (90+6'), Johansen (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chong (3')
Ruddy (78'), Trusty (81'), Long (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 6-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Birmingham City

QPR fans will be demanding a massive response following Tuesday's disastrous showing against Blackpool, knowing that one more win will probably be enough to secure their Championship safety. Birmingham come into this game knowing a victory for them will likely do the same, and we expect a hard-fought contest at Loftus Road on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
41.29% (-0.648 -0.65) 27.23% (-0.184 -0.18) 31.48% (0.832 0.83)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.855 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (0.937 0.94)55.97% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93% (0.757 0.76)77.07% (-0.756 -0.76)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.085999999999999 0.09)26.68% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.114 0.11)61.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (1.089 1.09)32.72% (-1.088 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (1.198 1.2)69.28% (-1.197 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.29%
    Birmingham City 31.48%
    Draw 27.22%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.184 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.48%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
59.5%
Draw
27.0%
Birmingham City
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
QPR
Pedersen (82'), Halilovic (85')
Pedersen (52'), Halilovic (86'), Roberts (90+6')
Austin (44')
Willock (13'), Bonne (73')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

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