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Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK at Mazuma Stadium
League One | Gameweek 37
Morecambe
1 - 1
Oxford Utd
Hunter (87')
Major (4'), Simeu (67'), Crowley (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Browne (41')
Browne (45+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Oxford United

Both sides are in poor veins of form, and neither can afford to lose this crucial match, so we think both teams will play it safe. There is not a lot to split both sides, so we can see the spoils being shared in a tightly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawOxford United
28.59% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 24.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 46.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.7% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.060999999999993 0.06)29.88% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.073 0.07)65.97% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (0.012 0.01)52.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.59%
    Oxford United 46.82%
    Draw 24.58%
MorecambeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Oxford Utd

Morecambe
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Morecambe
Joseph (56')
Rodriguez (89'), Brown (90+7')
Weir (48')
Stockton (51'), Fane (70'), Rawson (79'), Connolly (89+1')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Morecambe
Seddon (29'), Sykes (73'), Taylor (87')
Stockton (64')
Andersson (51')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-4
Oxford Utd
Molyneux (23'), Barkhuizen (91')
Ellison (45'), Edwards (90')
Miller (70')
Roofe (9'), Lundstram (71'), Hylton (74'), Bowery (80')
Mullins (37'), MacDonald (45')
Sep 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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