Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
