Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
