Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
