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Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
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Bristol Rovers
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Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
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Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
Ipswich logo
Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
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Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK at Jonny-Rocks Stadium
League One | Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3 - 1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Taylor (35'), Bonds (41'), Southwood (61'), Ferry (65'), Broom (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Key (69')
Aimson (90+3'), Key (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Exeter City

Both sides are unbeaten in their last three league outings, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. However, the Grecians have only picked up one point from their last three road trips, so we think the home side will edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
35.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 37.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.048000000000002 0.05)53.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.16% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)64.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.043000000000006 0.04)27.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.057000000000002 0.06)63.07% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 35.4%
    Exeter City 37.77%
    Draw 26.81%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.77%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
5-3
Exeter
Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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