

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 35.39% ( | 27.27% ( | 37.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( | 55.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% ( | 76.66% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( | 29.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.04% ( | 65.96% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( | 28.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.5% ( | 64.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| 22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
