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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
0 - 1
MK Dons


Nottingham (39'), Tharme (45+1'), Leigh (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (8')
Lewington (47'), Watson (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-0 MK Dons

MK Dons and Accrington Stanley are very evenly-matched, and so it is very difficult to pick a winner in Saturday's game. As such, we expect a very cagey match, akin to the encounter earlier this season, with the most likely result being a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
36.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.5% (0.0020000000000024 0) 36.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.28% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)27.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)63.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)27.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)62.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.67%
    MK Dons 36.83%
    Draw 26.49%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
MK Dons
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Accrington
Eisa (45'), O'Riley (85')
Darling (69'), Lewington (73'), Harvie (81'), Boateng (87')

Butcher (54'), Pell (60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
3-2
Accrington
Jerome (6', 55'), O'Riley (90+2')
Charles (57'), Surman (62' og.)
Smyth (45'), Burgess (47'), Barclay (49'), Rodgers (67'), Morgan (80')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Accrington
2-1
MK Dons
Charles (8', 62')
Pritchard (43')
Morris (53')
Gladwin (20'), Kasumu (27'), Sorinola (49'), Harvie (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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