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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.07% (![]() | 21.1% (![]() | 19.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% (![]() | 39.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.13% (![]() | 61.87% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% (![]() | 13.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.3% (![]() | 39.69% (![]() |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.5% (![]() | 33.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.87% (![]() | 70.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 3.57% Total : 59.07% | 1-1 @ 9.75% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
4 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
8 | Orlando City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Toronto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
2 | St Louis City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Dallas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |