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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Portland Timbers
Atlanta
5 - 1
Portland
Wiley (25'), Almada (45+5', 86'), Giakoumakis (59'), Araujo (75')
Sosa (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ikoba (83')
Mabiala (45+3'), Bravo (61'), Williamson (67'), McGraw (68')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Atlanta
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Portland Timbers

Atlanta have been poor on home turf of late, but their recent form should give them cause for optimism heading into this weekend's game. We anticipate an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly coming out on top in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
59.07% (-2.432 -2.43) 21.1% (0.731 0.73) 19.83% (1.701 1.7)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.706 -0.71)39.52% (0.707 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.13% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)61.87% (0.739 0.74)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.92 -0.92)13.08% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-1.902 -1.9)39.69% (1.903 1.9)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (1.359 1.36)33.49% (-1.36 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.457 1.46)70.13% (-1.458 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 59.07%
    Portland Timbers 19.83%
    Draw 21.1%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.344 -0.34)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.1%
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.37 0.37)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.325 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Portland

Atlanta United
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Portland Timbers
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 10.30pm
Portland
2-1
Atlanta
Moreno (38' pen.), Asprilla (82' pen.)
Asprilla (78')
Martinez (88')
Apr 19, 2020 11.30pm
Aug 19, 2019 3am
Portland
0-2
Atlanta

Moreira (42')
Gonzalez (14'), Martinez (46')
Larentowicz (24'), Pogba (33'), Barco (45')
Dec 9, 2018 1am
Final
Atlanta
2-0
Portland
Martinez (39'), Escobar (54')
McCann (94')

Chara (80')
Jun 24, 2018 9.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England10631169721
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati106311311221
3Atlanta UnitedAtlanta105321916318
4Nashville SCNashville10433116515
5New York City FCNY City104331211115
6Columbus Crew104241912714
7DC United104241413114
8Orlando City94231010014
9Toronto102621313012
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93241413111
11Chicago Fire92521313011
12Inter MiamiInter Miami9306810-29
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10163710-39
14Charlotte FCCharlotte FC102351019-99
15CF MontrealMontreal9306717-109

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle106221771020
2St Louis City1061322121019
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles85301661018
4Dallas104331211115
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes104331313015
6Houston DynamoHouston8413108213
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd933388012
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver9252117411
9Portland TimbersPortland103251316-311
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake93151017-710
11Colorado RapidsColorado10163611-59
12Austin FCAustin9234814-69
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9135714-76
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas10037315-123

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