Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 45.18% ( | 24.51% | 30.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% | 45.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% | 67.51% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( | 20.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.64% ( | 52.35% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( | 28.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.29% ( | 63.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0-1 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
| 2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
| 4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
| 5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
| 6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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