Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
| 45.42% ( | 25.82% ( | 28.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( | 73.32% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( | 22.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.73% ( | 56.27% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( | 32.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.1% ( | 68.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
| 2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
| 4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
| 5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
| 6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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