Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.