Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.