Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 4Olympiacos
The Match
Match Report
A hat-trick from Ayoub El Kaabi helps Olympiacos record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final on Thursday night.
Team News
Unai Emery makes three changes to his Aston Villa XI for the Europa Conference League semi-final first leg against Olympiacos.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-1 Lamia
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Olympiacos |
39.23% ( 0.04) | 23.97% ( -0) | 36.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.57% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
