

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa | 
| 51.6% (  0) | 22.92% (  -0) | 25.48% | 
| Both teams to score 59.15% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.75% | 41.25% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.35% (  0) | 63.65% (  -0) | 
| Leicester City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.92% (  0) | 16.08% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.53% (  0) | 45.47% (  -0) | 
| Aston Villa Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.49% | 29.51% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.48% (  0) | 65.52% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa | 
| 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% (  0) 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.75% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.48% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
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