Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Molineux Stadium

Wolves
1 - 2
Newcastle

Lemina (36')
Ait-Nouri (63'), Semedo (70'), Andre (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schar (75'), Barnes (80')
Joelinton (38'), Burn (52'), Murphy (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Harvey Barnes scores a sensational long-range winner as Newcastle United come from behind to defeat Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 at Molineux in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle United
32.56% ( -0.24)	23.11% ( -0.08)	44.33% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 63.64% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.44% (

0.28)

37.56% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.21% (

0.3)

59.79% (

-0.3)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

-0.01)

22.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.27% (

-0.01)

56.73% (

0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

0.24)

17.39% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18% (

0.41)

47.82% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.56%

Newcastle United 44.33%

Draw 23.11%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.56%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.33%