Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 67.3% ( | 18.47% ( | 14.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.43% ( | 37.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.2% ( | 59.81% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% ( | 10.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.33% ( | 33.67% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% ( | 38.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.42% ( | 75.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 3-1 @ 7.41% ( 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 5-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.85% Total : 67.3% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0-0 @ 4% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.47% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 1-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 14.23% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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