MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:01:29| >> :600:203943:203943:
Accrington Stanley
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Barnet
Accrington
1 - 0
Barnet
Hamilton (84')
Hamilton (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Okimo (28'), Kabamba (29'), Gorman (41')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Accrington Stanley and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Barnet

We expect Barnet to give Accrington a good fight on Saturday, but the League One side should have too much quality for their non-league opponents in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.3%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBarnet
49.36% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 21.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 28.84% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 66.32% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.87% (0.15300000000001 0.15)33.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.13% (0.17599999999999 0.18)54.87% (-0.172 -0.17)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.034000000000006 0.03)13.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.65% (0.062000000000005 0.06)41.35% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.134 0.13)22.96% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.194 0.19)56.74% (-0.19 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 49.36%
    Barnet 28.84%
    Draw 21.8%
Accrington StanleyDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.84%

How you voted: Accrington vs Barnet

Accrington Stanley
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Barnet
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Barnet
1-1
Accrington
Nicholls (18')
Watson (43'), Sweeney (53'), Santos (68'), Akinola (85')
Kee (67' pen.)
Sousa (61')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Accrington
4-1
Barnet
McConville (35'), Clark (51'), Kee (59'), Jackson (65')
Campbell-Ryce (54')
Nelson (32')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Barnet
McCartan (54')
Clare (43')

Bover (22'), Akinde (33'), Dembele (67')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Barnet
Kee (57'), Crooks (74')
Gambin (81'), Akinde (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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