Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.