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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
22.62% ( 0.01) | 22.24% ( 0.01) | 55.14% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( -0.02) | 41.08% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% ( -0.02) | 63.47% ( 0.02) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% | 31.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% ( -0) | 68.19% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.18% ( -0.01) | 14.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.88% ( -0.02) | 43.12% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.62% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 55.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 84 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 83 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 40 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
4 | Barnsley | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 78 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 41 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 70 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 68 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 41 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 55 |
11 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 55 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 53 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 40 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 52 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 51 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 50 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 46 |
17 | Port Vale | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 46 |
18 | Burton Albion | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 42 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 37 |
23 | Morecambe | 42 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 35 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 41 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 26 |
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