Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 66.28% (  0.35) | 19.55% (  -0.17) | 14.17% (  -0.19) | 
| Both teams to score 50.85% (  0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.25% (  0.34) | 42.74% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.85% (  0.34) | 65.14% (  -0.34) | 
| Peterborough United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.97% (  0.2) | 12.02% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.51% (  0.42) | 37.49% (  -0.42) | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.79% (  -0.05) | 42.2% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.39% (  -0.04) | 78.61% (  0.05) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Peterborough United | Draw | Accrington Stanley | 
| 2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 10.74% (  -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.82% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.04% (  0.06) 3-1 @ 6.94% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 4.26% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 3.67% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% (  0.02) 5-0 @ 1.8% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 1.58% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% (  0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 66.26% | 1-1 @ 9.27% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.24% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.55% | 0-1 @ 4.38% (  -0.07) 1-2 @ 4% (  -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.89% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.17% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 | 
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 | 
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 | 
| 4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 | 
| 5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 | 
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 | 
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 | 
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 | 
| 9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 | 
| 10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 | 
| 12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 | 
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 | 
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 | 
| 16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 | 
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 | 
| 18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 | 
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 | 
| 21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 | 
| 22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 | 
| 23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 | 
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