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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
69.99% (![]() | 18.43% (![]() | 11.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.04% (![]() | 43.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.65% (![]() | 66.35% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% (![]() | 11.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.92% (![]() | 36.09% (![]() |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.91% (![]() | 47.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.44% (![]() | 82.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-0 @ 12.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.64% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 69.98% | 1-1 @ 8.77% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.43% | 0-1 @ 4.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Morecambe | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
22 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 29 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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