Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 36.55% ( | 25.88% ( | 37.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( | 49.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( | 71.66% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( | 26.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.49% ( | 61.5% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( | 25.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.26% ( | 60.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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